Spotting Value in Sports Betting Lines: How to Find Overlooked Opportunities

Value betting is a systematic approach to sports betting that facilitates a higher percentage of return than the expected risk for the bettors. Often, bettors are deceived by false myths, but our professional handicappers providing handicap sports betting can help you with spotting value in the bet, and find overlooked opportunities. In handicap sports betting, value can either be positive or negative. Positive value exists when the probability of a wager winning is greater than what is reflected in the odds. A wager has a negative value when it is less likely to win than the odds suggest. In order to make money through handicap sports betting, you need to find positive value and overlooked opportunities in sports betting.

Identifying value in sports betting and overlooked opportunities involves assessing the probabilities of possible outcomes, and making the most accurate assessments. However, there is no right or wrong here as such, it’s more art than science. It ultimately comes down to how the available information is interpreted in handicap sports betting.

The professional handicappers understand the difference between the chances of team to win, and the corresponding odds, or the price a bookmaker is willing to pay for winning bets, which are known as payouts.

Identifying the true probability of winning

Note that odds do not represent the true probability of a team winning. If you want to have a mathematical approach to betting, you should also learn about fair odds and theoretical odds, that represent true probability of a team’s winning. Professional handicap sports betting advice can help identify value bets wherein the likelihood of a given outcome is higher than what the odds offered reflect. So, you have a statistically higher return, and your chances of winning are higher than the bookmaker estimated.

As value betting depends on properly calculating the true probability of a bet and its fair odds, our handicap sports betting experts can do it either through technical analysis, and fundamental analysis. Technical analysis is based on the wisdom of the crowd, and assuming that the average price is close to the fair odds. In fundamental analysis, sports handicappers do an analysis of match data for shots, passes, goals, etc., and then weigh the characteristics of the team on the basis of past performance against the other team's skills.

Find value in sports that you genuinely understand

To find better value in handicap sports betting, one should assess the probability before looking at the odds, and should not ignore heavy favorites. You have a much better chance of finding value in the sports that you genuinely understand. It is easier to make an accurate assessment of the probability when you are familiar with the team and players, and know the factors that can affect the outcome of events. Make sure that you take them all into account, otherwise, you will not be able to make very accurate assessments. Consider anything and everything that can impact the outcome of an event.

Make these judgments before you look at the relevant odds because if you look at the odds first, your thinking will be affected in some way, and your assessment of the probabilities will be guided by what the odds suggest, which will make it difficult to be objective. Also, shop around for the best odds for each wager you place. Although the difference can be small, it can add up over time and can become quite significant. Get in touch with Winible to learn more about such interesting and amazing posts about sport betting, professional handicappers and more.